Preseason Rankings
Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#263
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.9#51
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#190
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#326
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 7.0% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 42.9% 59.7% 34.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.6% 67.7% 52.3%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.9% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 3.3% 7.6%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
First Round4.2% 6.2% 3.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 34.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 413 - 715 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 237   @ Massachusetts L 75-79 34%    
  Nov 08, 2019 210   @ LIU Brooklyn L 78-84 29%    
  Nov 10, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 62-86 2%    
  Nov 15, 2019 298   Jacksonville W 83-78 68%    
  Nov 16, 2019 304   Merrimack W 80-74 69%    
  Nov 17, 2019 193   Dartmouth L 76-77 47%    
  Nov 26, 2019 171   Brown L 79-81 42%    
  Dec 01, 2019 342   Central Connecticut St. W 84-73 83%    
  Dec 04, 2019 249   Sacred Heart W 85-83 57%    
  Dec 07, 2019 293   St. Francis Brooklyn W 79-74 66%    
  Dec 11, 2019 175   @ NJIT L 72-80 25%    
  Dec 21, 2019 200   Boston University L 77-78 49%    
  Dec 27, 2019 209   @ Loyola Maryland L 77-83 31%    
  Dec 29, 2019 21   @ Michigan L 61-83 3%    
  Jan 04, 2020 206   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 08, 2020 321   Hartford W 80-73 72%    
  Jan 11, 2020 339   Binghamton W 79-69 80%    
  Jan 15, 2020 333   @ Maine W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 22, 2020 178   @ Albany L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 25, 2020 84   @ Vermont L 66-81 11%    
  Jan 29, 2020 196   Stony Brook L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 334   New Hampshire W 75-66 77%    
  Feb 05, 2020 196   @ Stony Brook L 73-80 29%    
  Feb 08, 2020 206   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 12, 2020 333   Maine W 76-67 76%    
  Feb 15, 2020 321   @ Hartford W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 20, 2020 339   @ Binghamton W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 26, 2020 178   Albany L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 29, 2020 84   Vermont L 69-78 23%    
  Mar 03, 2020 334   @ New Hampshire W 72-69 59%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.8 4.2 1.6 0.3 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.4 6.0 4.2 1.2 0.1 15.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.5 6.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 17.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 6.2 6.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 17.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 6.0 4.3 1.1 0.0 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.6 1.2 0.2 6.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 5.5 8.4 10.9 12.2 13.7 12.5 10.9 8.7 6.4 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
14-2 82.9% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 47.7% 1.6    0.7 0.8 0.1 0.0
12-4 14.6% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-5 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 40.9% 40.3% 0.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1%
15-1 0.5% 43.6% 43.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.5% 25.6% 25.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-3 3.3% 18.0% 18.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.7
12-4 6.4% 14.4% 14.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 5.4
11-5 8.7% 10.4% 10.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 7.8
10-6 10.9% 5.8% 5.8% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.2
9-7 12.5% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 12.0
8-8 13.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.3
7-9 12.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.0
6-10 10.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.8
5-11 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-12 5.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-13 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.2
2-14 1.5% 1.5
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.5 95.0 0.0%